Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 951.062696 1070.604436 1200.909002 1353.739321 1528.391438 1722.114896 1953.767544
2026-01-11 764.769228 926.581043 1117.832084 1361.624721 1665.649344 2034.248444 2517.955439
2026-01-18 657.873407 837.780651 1062.489054 1365.919939 1768.217812 2287.829603 3017.111717
2026-01-25 594.049600 787.707384 1040.729953 1399.011658 1898.888245 2579.860926 3591.961872
2026-02-01 542.516904 744.558200 1018.893559 1423.597984 2013.866506 2856.490133 4174.175958
2026-02-08 497.972232 704.359816 994.255092 1437.741200 2110.750601 3112.862749 4754.176706
2026-02-15 461.399457 670.647485 973.720709 1452.991503 2207.293344 3375.130582 5372.313540
2026-02-22 433.626130 646.404172 963.518944 1480.805626 2323.384221 3677.103031 6089.897822
2026-03-01 394.741126 601.368564 917.000220 1445.927291 2333.686513 3807.154496 6531.296347
2026-03-08 358.492311 557.025601 867.170564 1399.868711 2318.944210 3890.969472 6898.087065
2026-03-15 326.756101 517.080140 820.659122 1354.210082 2298.863676 3961.117058 7245.362718
2026-03-22 315.340055 509.022867 825.047367 1394.625648 2432.141255 4315.944919 8174.360213
2026-03-29 299.873353 493.354751 816.005285 1411.824453 2527.486237 4616.103457 9048.046195
2026-04-05 284.003738 475.753210 802.208496 1419.203477 2605.504588 4892.903798 9916.371493
2026-04-12 269.199717 458.730377 787.819463 1423.712467 2677.764585 5165.568088 10814.360210
2026-04-19 260.229238 451.224537 789.576884 1458.359256 2812.156256 5578.026967 12080.019134
2026-04-26 250.662578 441.835919 786.997307 1484.103708 2930.867412 5971.372750 13362.875107
2026-05-03 240.364037 430.279085 779.361104 1498.914127 3028.079821 6329.668714 14618.992851
2026-05-10 230.991903 419.726273 772.708281 1514.884666 3129.081636 6707.841212 15984.030076
2026-05-17 223.849142 412.857357 772.536922 1544.014513 3261.575453 7173.093164 17646.576246
2026-05-24 209.781749 391.607514 742.518535 1507.486724 3243.335075 7284.493590 18399.000433
2026-05-31 195.552487 369.110721 708.425486 1459.256645 3193.354981 7313.863395 18933.772618
2026-06-07 182.438849 348.018061 675.760017 1411.453087 3139.667841 7328.072872 19429.601719